Zekai Li vs Minghui Zhang Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do their second serve performances compare? Recently, Li has a slight edge, winning 42.51% of second serve points compared to Zhang's 38.55%.
• When returning second serves, Zhang excels with a 49.53% win rate over Li's 43.63%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Zhang holds a narrow advantage with a 25.36% success rate, just surpassing Li's 24.17%.
• Under pressure, who has the advantage? Li demonstrates resilience, saving 50.82% of breakpoints versus Zhang's 25%.
• Considering overall match performance in the past year, Li has a better record, winning 50% of matches played, while Zhang has a 40% win rate.
• How do they perform on their favored surfaces? Li performs best on clay, with a 55% win rate, whereas Zhang prefers hard courts, winning 35% of the time.
• Both players have mostly competed at the $10K ITF level, with Li winning 51.06% of those matches, while Zhang won 40%.
• In direct head-to-head, Li leads with one victory over Zhang, indicating a potential psychological edge.
• They have not played any tiebreaks or deciding sets against each other, suggesting an untested high-pressure head-to-head scenario.
• Li tends to face stronger opponents, averaging ranks of 201.75, while Zhang's opponents average a rank of 125.97.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Li might be favored, having a 57% win rate compared to Zhang's 50% in such situations.
• Li's recent break point conversion rate of 26.67% surpasses Zhang's 14.29%, a crucial factor in tight match conditions.

Editorial Prediction (May 7, 2025, UTC):

In examining the recent performances of both Li and Zhang, several key statistics emerge that inform our prediction.

Li's stronger second serve success and breakpoint-saving ability under pressure could tilt the scales in their favor. Moreover, Li's superior overall match win rate and prior head-to-head victory over Zhang enhance their position.

While Zhang has demonstrated aptitude in returning serves, Li's steady performance in both deciding sets and breakpoints suggests resilience that could be decisive.

Considering these factors, Li appears more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.